It’s official: LeBron James will not finish his career as a Los Angeles Laker. The talking heads are in a gnashing froth. ESPN’s Shams Charania has become the first human being in recorded history to somehow get less than zero sleep over a 24-hour period. Steph Curry is widening his eyes. Bronny James is secretly relishing the chance to forge his own identity as he says “I’ll miss you, Dad.” James hasn’t been the best player in the league for more than half a decade, but at 41 he remains the most decorated and the one who commands the most coverage. So let’s indulge in a time-honored tradition one last time: wild speculation over where the King will play next season.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors seem to be the odds-on favorite to land James, but it still feels silly typing this out. Picture Thanos joining the Avengers. Lionel Messi defecting to Portugal. Andy Murray coaching Novak Djokovic … well, that one did actually happen.
James waged an uphill war against Golden State for four straight years in the 2010s, trying to will his usually undermanned Cavaliers squad to an unlikely win over one of the finest teams ever assembled. His lone success on that mission came in 2016, and remains the crown jewel of his career. But there were more bad times than good: JR Smith’s tragicomic gaffe in the 2018 finals; what would have been an all-time carry job sputtering out of gas after taking a 2-1 lead in 2015; going up against Warriors teams in 2017 and 2018 who were essentially impossible for him to beat with the teammates he had. Clips of James blocking Curry’s layups and then jawing at him, or Draymond Green trying to swat the King out of the air, still inspire vivid emotions in plenty of fans. And now James would join ranks with his old enemy?
Well, yes. James and Curry (and even Green) have grown close over the years. They played together on Olympic squads and the synergy was beautiful. Alongside Curry, Green and potentially LeBron’s ex-Laker teammate Anthony Davis, the New Warriors would be the most feelgood team in recent memory. Besides, this move would be entirely in line with James’s history. He’s never been afraid of angering fans, maybe to a fault. (Recall those burned jerseys after The Decision.) He’s always zigged when fans wanted him to zag. While other players shamelessly imitated Michael Jordan, James charted his own path in his own style until fans accepted him as at least equally great. Why not join the team that tormented him for years?
This Unc-tastic crew would brew nostalgia by the gallon. The modern NBA is powered by youth and durability, and nobody should be under any illusions that this team would be headed towards a pasture remotely greener than “every crucial player gets injured within five games of the season starting”. Still, the vibes before that inevitable train wreck would be fabulous.
Likelihood: 55%
Cleveland Cavaliers
The lone option that could beat the Warriors for good feels. In his Sports Illustrated essay announcing his return to Cleveland in 2014, James wrote “I always believed that I’d return to Cleveland and finish my career there. I just didn’t know when.” Did that belief change when he left Cleveland for LA in 2018, or has a final stint with the Cavs been the plan all along? Dumped out of the Eastern Conference finals in four games by the Knicks, including an epic Game 1 collapse, the Cavaliers need all the help they can get. On the court, James may not get all that many touches – he’ll have to sneak them in between the twin suns of Donovan Mitchell and James Harden – but it’ll be worth it for the sheer energy of his first game back.
Cleveland is where LeBron began his career in 2003. It’s where he made his first finals. It’s the city that loathed him when he left and loved him when he returned. It’s the site of his greatest triumph and his greatest basketball (2018, as the man himself told it on the Mind the Game podcast.) So the team lacks a certain reliability and verve. But it’s the best story.
Likelihood: 25%
Miami Heat
The Heat have Bam Adebayo to pair with Giannis Antetokounmpo, but they traded away most of their other assets to get the Greek star. LeBron and Giannis would be an intriguing combination – there may not be enough three-point shooting there to power a fearsome offense, but they’d be a force in the paint, and Antetokounmpo’s dunks and drives could help James get some valuable rest. James spent just four seasons in Miami, but packed enough memories into that time to compete with his body of work anywhere else: four straight trips to the finals, two MVPs, two finals MVPs, his villain era and one oft-cited, poorly aged quote. Hey, going back to Miami is the only way to belatedly fulfill “not one, not two … not seven”.
Likelihood: 15%
Minnesota Timberwolves/San Antonio Spurs/Oklahoma City Thunder
If what James covets most isn’t money or fun but a ring, he won’t get what he wants on any of the above teams. These teams are genuine contenders, and James’s time on the Lakers – as well as his, oh, 23 years in the league – tell him exactly what that looks like: youth, generational stars, exceptional defense. James would be an instant upgrade on Julius Randle in Minnesota, further bolstering the offense alongside Anthony Edwards (imagine those alley-oops, in either configuration) and LaMelo Ball. He would be a sorely needed veteran on the Spurs, giving them an out in crunch time with touch shots off the glass or foul-drawing drives. Jordan and James never played each other in the NBA; imagine if James not only played alongside the next player with GOAT potential in Wemby but helped sharpen him.
And the Thunder? They probably have the least need for James out of any team in the league, but that’s exactly why he may feast there. With their endless bench of serviceable-to-very-good three-and-D players, James could play limited minutes with manageable intensity as the other starters carry the defensive burden. While James on the Cavs or Warriors is a lovely image, if anyone’s earned the right to chase a final ring on one of the best teams in the league, it’s him.
Likelihood: 5%
Memphis Grizzlies
What James said about Memphis in March was a masterstroke of misdirection disguising a secret and long-held love for the city. Also, he feels bad about how badly things went with Ja Morant.
Likelihood: LOL
Only the man himself knows what’s to come in the future. But if his choice is consistent with his on-court philosophy, though the team he picks may not be the most obvious or the most conducive to glory, it will be the correct one.
