45 mins: Not for long though as Capewell coughs up possession for the second time this half! He’s gang tackled by Martin and Crichton and the ball comes loose. The Maroons need a change of momentum, and Reece Walsh coming onto the field might just be it. Walker makes way for his HIA.

44 mins: Walker is fit to resume but his short drop-out is reclaimed by the Blues and NSW get another full set inside 20m. Fonua-Blake sets up the drive on the left then it’s through hands at pace for Koula to steam into the line on the right. The Blues can smell blood. Cleary darts into the line, kicks, then collects the ricochet. Quick hands to Moses – but he’s smuggled into touch. The Maroons get a brief reprieve.

43 mins: NSW just get on with business and spend a set inside 30m. All their attention is on the left edge, until the last, when Crichton dabs through an inch perfect grubber that Ponga can only smother in-goal. Perfect start to the half by the Blues.

42 mins: Now Walker is down and groggy! He slipped horribly approaching the tackle on Best and got whacked from behind by a teammate.

41 mins: Capewell drops the ball in contact on tackle three of the restart set. Yikes!

Billy Slater remains calm, urging his team just to keep hold of the ball and back his side’s dangerous footballers.

James Tedesco has failed his HIA. Koula will play the second half at fullback and NSW will have to rethink their forward rotations.

The Maroons have work to do. They looked on the ropes during a spell midway through the half when their game was littered with errors. Their ball-players are yet to exert themselves on the contest and they are running to stand still around the ground. The impact of Martin and Haas together in the starting lineup, with Fonua-Blake coming off the bench has been tough for the Queensland forwards to resist. Billy Slater will be thankful for a couple of Bostock spillages or the scoreline could be even uglier.

NSW head to the sheds with a commanding lead at Suncorp Stadium. That is the most complete the Blues have looked this series, organised in defence and attack, limiting the unforced errors, maximising the kicking power of Mitch Moses, and taking the opportunities handed to them by Queensland.

Cameron Munster has a good old whinge at Ashley Klein before leaving the field, arguing his team have been treated harshly at the ruck. The referee isn’t having a bar of it.

40 mins: Bostock spills the long bomb from Munster and the Maroons can launch one last attack. BAM! Nikora with the hit-up and he collides head-to-head with Tedesco and the fullback was out cold before he hit the ground. The No 1 goes off, replaced by Koula, and we might not see him again tonight. Play restarts with a penalty to the Blues, because earlier in Nikora’s run he was penalised for a bumper bar to the face of Bostock.

38 mins: Munster kicks on the fourth tackle of the restart set, buying territory. NSW don’t mind as Fonua-Blake charges into the fray, eating up the ground, busting through tackles. A gap emerges on the left and Best storms through it with intent. NSW keep the ball moving but by the last Moses runs out of momentum and Queensland can clear.

34 mins: Queensland make decent ground on the left, then Tabuai-Fidow wins a knock-on against Nawaqanitawase in an aerial duel. The Maroons have their first gilt-edged attacking platform of the night. They have to capitalise.

32 mins: I’m not sure anybody expected this. The Blues are absolutely tearing this decider apart before half-time. Queensland need to play the Get Out of Jail Free Reece Walsh card, and soon.

28 mins: Queensland are on the ropes. NSW are the faster, stronger, smarter of the two sides tonight, and it’s the Maroons who are paying for their errors.

25 mins: Queensland puncture a little damage down the right coming out of their own half but again it’s another poor kick from Munster on the last. Cobbo recovers it and incites Grant to do better – which he does – and a line drop-out looks assured but Bostock does magnificently gathering in goal and running around his posts to just inch back into play. Moses again turns defensive pressure into an afterthought with a huge kick.

23 mins: Finally Queensland have some attacking footy – but it’s pretty lacklustre and the kick on the last is unthreatening. NSW are happy to grind their way out of their red zone and marvel at the enormous power of Moses’ kicking game as he smashes another drive down the fairway on tackle four that turns Cobbo on his heels.

21 mins: Queensland finally complete a set and establish parity for the first time in about 10 minutes of non-stop punishment. NSW return in kind, but there’s a flashpoint on the kick chase. Ponga marks it, dropping to his knees, Young steams in and catches the fullback high with his chasing tackle. You’ve seen players sent to the bin for that kind of action but Klein acknowledges how low Ponga dropped as he took the catch and the Blues remain with 13.

19 mins: NSW are fizzing! Haas rampages down the right edge, offloads, the Blues spread the ball quickly to the left with two long spirals, Best straightens up and gets within sniffing distance of the line. Young is in support but he can’t find the offload to Bostock and Queensland survive. Survival is literally all it is for the Maroons right now though. NSW have come to play.

17 mins: A solid restart set sees the Blues advance to halfway. Queensland are conservative for four sets then expand down the left with Ponga entering the line – but it’s another error! The final pass to Cobbo is too hot and the winger brushes the whitewash as he tries to haul it in.

15 mins: NSW have upped the tempo in the past seven or eight minutes, stringing passes together, dragging the Queensland defence from left to right, and forcing errors under the high ball. This is a purposeful start from the Blues.

13 mins: “This is the best NSW have looked all series” bemoans former Queensland skipper Cameron Smith. The Blues are now dominating territory and possession – and from the latest sortie Cobbo knocks on in the air under pressure on the right wing. This is building ominously for NSW.

11 mins: Another poor moment for Cotter as he drops a simple one-out pass and the Blues have a scrum 25m out on the right wing. Moses tries to dart off the back on an angle to the left, then Barnett is held up. This is lovely ball playing from NSW. They come again to the left, Tedesco is prominent, but Bostock opts to cut inside and secure possession instead of testing the sideline. Cleary kicks on the last to the right corner this time but Nawaqanitawase knocks on in the air under pressure from Tabuai-Fidow.

10 mins: The Blues play to the right behind the scrum but Nawaqanitawase has no room to manoeuvre. NSW then get to work under the posts. Martin is busy, drawing tacklers in. There’s a quick ruck, NSW go through hands to the left, Moses is sharp, Best is brilliant, but Bostock can’t hold on and the simple jog into the corner is spilled! Massive opportunity.

9 mins: NSW cross halfway in possession for the first time and Cleary can launch an attacking kick. He goes to the left corner where Bostock leaps with Fifita and the rookie forces the knock-on and a 10m scrum.

8 mins: NSW still can’t make any yardage, despite the wriggling and jinking of Tedesco. They are very relieved to have the superboot of Mitch Moses at halfback, kicking them out of danger for the fourth set in a row. Queensland execute a simple set and then have the Blues under pressure inside their own 30 – until Cotter is harshly punished for holding on and he concedes a six-again.

6 mins: Queensland kick to the right then get to work infield inside the 30m line. Capewell almost busts the defensive line on the left edge but the Blues scramble well. They hold up Nikora on the last to delay the play-the-ball and the Maroons can only invite Tabuai-Fidow to accept a tackle on the last and hand the ball over.

4 mins: NSW make no ground coming off their own line so Moses kicks from 20 to 20. Ponga and Cobbo get their hands on the ball as Queensland reach halfway, setting up the first play through hands of the night, to the right, with Toia gaining good metres. The kick on the last is deep to the right corner, where To’o is no longer posted. Bostock deals with the danger.

Again NSW go nowhere coming from a standing start but another huge kick releases the pressure. That is until Young concedes the first penalty of the night, lifting Fifita off his feet. It looked worse than it was and the Raider made sure he placed his opponent down safely. A chance for the home side nonetheless.

2 mins: Queensland kick off and Barnett takes the first hit up. Young, Yeo, and Haas take their turns, before Tedesco is crunched. The Blues kick long, Queensland run it back for four tackles then Munster belts a beautiful kick that bobbles in-goal, turning Tedesco around and putting NSW on the back foot.

Formalities taken care of, kick-off is imminent.

The atmosphere flips as Cameron Munster jogs into the cauldron. He leads Queensland, top to toe in maroon, and the crowd rises in acclaim.

Here come the Blues! The roof nearly comes off Suncorp Stadium as a deafening rumble of boos shakes the venue to its foundations. In case you were unaware, NSW are wearing sky blue jerseys and navy shorts.

Jai Arrow, wearing his Queensland jersey, fights back the tears as he brings the State of Origin shield on to the pitch.

As the two sets of players finalise their preparations, a quick recap on the team news:

Queensland’s starting XIII is unchanged, following just the one tweak ahead of game two. There are a couple of switches on the interchange with Pat Carrigan and Lindsay Collins swapping places in the sick bay, and the in-form Jeremiah Nanai forcing his way onto the bench ahead of Kulikefu Finefeuiaki.

NSW selection remains a free for all. Jack Bostock and Bradman Best have been handed their first run-ons of the series, and Stephen Crichton has been recalled, leaving James Tedesco as the only outside back to start all three matches. Mitchell Moses retains his place alongside Nathan Cleary in the halves despite a quiet showing in game two and Ethan Strange excelling as his understudy in game one. The forward pack is comparatively stable, but it still includes Hudson Young’s third second row partner this winter, with the roulette wheel stopping on Liam Martin.

It is cool and dry and still under the Lang Park lights, but Andrew Johns suggests it’s a little slippery underfoot.

Ashley Klein is the man in the middle once more. He was crucial on opening night, he’ll be hoping he has less to do in the decider.

Billy Slater matches with: “It’s been a great prep”.

Tactically: “Be confident and go and get your game… Chase your game, go and get it.”

“The boys are really dialled in,” enthuses Laurie Daley. “They know what they need to do. They just have to do it.”

Tactically: “Expect some different interchange plans”.

The two five eighths have said a few words on their ways into Suncorp Stadium.

“Don’t go chasing points or opportunities,” was Cameron Munster’s insight. “Win the little moments that can build into big moments.”

Nathan Cleary’s mantra: “Control”.

Speaking of Channel 9, this is the kind of night they would have previously looked to roll out Karl Stefanovic. Not any more.

Andrew Abdo has just been on Channel Nine spruiking the NRL’s new massive broadcast deal.

Nine Entertainment and Foxtel have retained the media rights to the NRL in a $5.3bn deal which will see the games aired on the free-to-air network and the global streaming company DAZN until 2034.

The Australian Rugby League Commission (ARLC) chair Peter V’landys said the seven-year agreement from 2028 marked “a defining moment for rugby league”…

V’landys claimed the NRL was “the most viewed program in Australia and in the Pacific”.

“Don’t listen to what other people tell you, especially down south, we are the No 1-viewed sport in Australia,” he said. “The deal future-proofs the game for everybody … our ambition is to grow the game globally.”

Since the beginning of the three-game Origin series in 1982, there have been 10 deciders played in Queensland; seven have been won by the home state, three by NSW and a sole draw in 1999.

This series’ game three looks to be an uphill battle for the Blues after they were battered in front of a Queensland-centric crowd at the MCG in game two. In Brisbane, it will be a different story again, and there are doubts about whether the Blues can win the decider against a loud and proud Maroons crowd at home.

If Martin brings the mayhem, Cleary plays a blinder and Best finds room to gallop, NSW can give their longsuffering coach a sweet goodbye. But if Queensland pick up where they left off in Melbourne and snap NSW’s spirit with an early points blitz, the Suncorp earth might open up and swallow the men in Blue as it has so many others.